Jiang Xueqin
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Jiang Xueqin 江学勤[ph 1] | |
|---|---|
 | |
| Born | 1976 (age 49–50) |
| Citizenship | Canada[2] |
| Education | Yale University (BA) |
| Occupations | Educator, writer, historian, geopolitical analyst, YouTuber |
| Years active | 2000s–present time |
| Known for | Education reform in China Predictive History YouTube channel Geopolitical forecasting lectures |
| Notable work | Creative China (《创新中国教育》) (2014) |
| Website | Predictive History |
Jiang Xueqin (Chinese: 江学勤[ph 1]; pinyin: Jiāng Xuéqín; born 1976[ph 2]), also known as Professor Jiang, is a Chinese-Canadian educator and writer based in Beijing, China. Jiang has worked in journalism, documentary filmmaking, international development (including positions with the United Nations), and education reform.[3] He has been a teacher at Moonshot Academy, Beijing, since 2022.[4] Jiang is known for his YouTube channel Predictive History.[5]
Early life and education
Jiang emigrated from China to Canada with his family when he was young.[2] The family settled in Toronto. His father is a short-order cook, and his mother is a seamstress.[6] Jiang graduated from Yale in 1999 with a degree in English literature.[7] Jiang holds Canadian citizenship.[6][1]
Career
In 1998, while still studying as an undergraduate at Yale, Jiang worked his first teaching job, a six-month stint at the Affiliated High School of Peking University.[6] In 2000, Jiang moved to Beijing where he worked as a freelance journalist. Jiang writes for publications such as the American Christian Science Monitor and the Hong Kong-based Far Eastern Economic Review.[1]
In 2002, while contracted to the U.S.-funded Public Broadcasting Service (PBS), Jiang was detained for two days by police in Daqing, Heilongjiang, while reporting on a labor protest. A friend claimed that he was accused of "making illegal video recordings" and suspected of spying. No charges were filed, and Jiang was deported from China on 5 June 2002.[1]
Jiang has also held senior administrative and teaching positions at several prominent Chinese secondary schools, including:
- Deputy Principal, Shenzhen Middle School (2008–2010)[8]
- Program Director, Peking University High School International Division (2010–2012)
- Tsinghua University's Affiliate High School (2014)[6]
- History and Philosophy Teacher, Moonshot Academy Beijing (2022-present).[ph 1]
He is a researcher with the Global Education Innovation Initiative at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts (RSA), and has served on the selection committee for the Global Teacher Prize.[7][9]
His writing has appeared in The New York Times (Chinese edition), China Youth Daily, The Wall Street Journal, and The Chronicle of Higher Education.[3]
YouTube channel
Jiang is the creator and principal lecturer of the YouTube channel Predictive History, which he launched prior to 2024. His description of the channel includes employing structural historical analysis, game theory, and concepts inspired by Isaac Asimov's fictional psychohistory to interpret and predict important geopolitical developments.[ph 3][10]
His three main series are:
- "Civilization", a series of lectures tracing the evolution of human societies with particular emphasis on belief systems;
- "Geo-Strategy", a series of lectures on geopolitics.
- "Secret History", a series of lectures about the history of secret societies and their influence on global politics.
Jiang also has a course Western Philosophy that has been recorded and uploaded to his YouTube channel.[10]
Jiang's Geo-Strategy episode, "The Iran Trap" (2024) has attracted international attention after several of his major predictions, including the re-election of Donald Trump in 2024 and escalating U.S. involvement toward conflict with Iran in 2025 and 2026 came true.[10][11][5]
While some media outlets described Jiang's lecture on Iran in 2024 as prophetic (earning him the monicker "Nostradamus of China"), others criticized the predictions for relying on selective historical analogies, speculative game theory reasoning, and untestable assumptions.[10] River Page, writing for The Free Press, described Jiang as a conspiracy theorist who has promoted Illuminati, Freemasonic, Jesuit and Sabbatean conspiracy theories through his YouTube channel.[12]
Publications
- 创新中国教育 [Creative China]. 2014. ISBN 978-7-5117-2072-6.
- Schools for the Soul. 2021.[13]
- "China's media enables tyranny and corruption". CNN. 23 November 2017.
References
- "Canadian journalist expelled for investigating workers' strikes | RSF". Reporters Without Borders. 11 June 2002.
- "我花四年考入耶鲁，却用了十年才走出它带来的迷茫" [It took me four years to get into Yale, but ten years to emerge from the confusion it brought me.]. Sohu (in Chinese). 21 July 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- "Who Is Jiang Xueqin? Professor's viral video from 2024 predicted Trump's return and U.S. role in Israel-Iran war". The Financial Express. 23 June 2025. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- "Xueqin Jiang | 江学勤". MOONSHOT ACADEMY. Retrieved 7 March 2026.
- Calso, Angel R. (5 March 2026). "Prof. Jiang Xueqin's startling prediction: Why Iran could triumph in a war against the US and Israel". BusinessMirror (Opinion). Manila, Philippines.
- Johnson, Ian (8 April 2014). "Solving China's Schools: An Interview with Jiang Xueqin". The New York Review.
- "Research Team: Xueqin Jiang". Global Education Innovation Initiative (Research Team profiles). Harvard Graduate School of Education. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- Wei, Xiaohan (11 June 2022). "Bitter Lessons From a Chinese Education Reformer". Sixth Tone. Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
- "Jiang Xueqin". Big Think (Profile page). Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- "The Professor Who Predicted Trump's Return and War With Iran". Newsweek. 24 June 2025. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- "Chinese History professor's viral prediction of Trump re-election, Iran war stuns netizen". WION. 2025. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
- Page, River. "Meet the Internet's New Iran Expert—Who Thinks the Illuminati Runs the World". thefp.com. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- "Jiang Xueqin". Global Teacher Prize. 23 November 2022. Retrieved 18 January 2026.
Primary sources
- "江学勤 Xueqin Jiang 英语老师，哲学老师" [Jiang Xueqin, English teacher, philosophy teacher]. Moonshot Academy (Profile page).
北京市朝阳区林萃路2号国家网球中心莲花球馆
[Lotus Hall, National Tennis Center, No. 2 Lincui Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing] - "Civilization BONUS: Meet Professor Jiang". YouTube. 12 June 2025.
- Predictive History. YouTube. Retrieved 10 January 2026.
External links
- YouTube channel @PredictiveHistory
- Profile at the Global Education Innovation Initiative, Harvard Graduate School of Education
- Interview with Breaking Points on War with Iran (March 2, 2026)
- 1976 births
- Living people
- 21st-century Canadian journalists
- Canadian expatriates in China
- Canadian YouTubers
- Chinese emigrants to Canada
- Yale University alumni
- Harvard University people
- Educators from Toronto
- Educators from Guangdong
- Canadian journalists of Chinese descent
- Journalists from Toronto
- Criticism of United States foreign policy
- YouTubers from Toronto
Who is Jiang Xueqin? Meet 'China’s Nostradamus', professor going viral over his predictions about Donald Trump
What were the three predictions Jiang Xueqin made?
He also predicted that Donald Trump would make a political comeback and that a renewed US leadership could be drawn into military confrontation.
Warns of a long, costly conflict
Drawing on historical analogies, he compared a possible invasion to ancient military blunders, warning that Iran’s geography, local resistance, and strategic depth could bog down even a powerful army and turn the conflict into a protracted ordeal.
Who is Jiang Xueqin?
Outside academia, he operates a YouTube channel titled Predictive History, where he examines historical patterns, geopolitical strategy and game theory to anticipate potential global developments.
Who is Xueqin Jiang? ‘China’s Nostradamus’ whose 2 out of 3 Trump predictions came true
Jiang had made two other significant predictions in 2024: that Donald Trump would return to power in the US; the second was that he would start a war with Iran. Both of these have come true, sparking speculation across the internet.
A Chinese educator’s predictions on US President Donald Trump have gone viral, earning him the tag of being ‘China’s Nostradamus’. The educator, identified as Xueqin Jiang, had famously predicted that the US will lose the war to Iran during an online lecture in 2024, and its video is circulating now as tensions between the US and Iran simmer.
Jiang had made two other significant predictions in 2024: that Donald Trump would return to power in the US; the second was that he would start a war with Iran. Both of these have come true, sparking speculation across the internet.
What do we know about Jiang Xueqin?
Jiang reportedly teaches philosophy and history in Beijing. A graduate of Yale College, he has spent much of his career focused on education reform and curriculum design in China.
Beyond academia, Jiang has built an online following through his YouTube project, “Predictive History.” In these lectures, he attempts to forecast global events by analysing recurring historical patterns, geopolitical incentives and elements of game theory.
His approach draws loosely on the concept of “psychohistory”, a fictional science imagined by author Isaac Asimov in the Foundation series, in which long-term historical trends are used to anticipate the future.
Jiang’s contentious prediction
In May 2024, Jiang had argued that if Trump returned to power in the US, geopolitical pressures could push US toward confrontation with Iran. In the lecture, Jiang argued that a second Trump presidency could increase the chances of a military battle with Iran, which wouldn’t end well for America.
Drawing parallels from history, Jiang had compared a potential US invasion of Iran with the Sicilian Expedition, when Athens launched a large military campaign that ultimately ended in catastrophe.
He claimed that Iran’s geography and population would make any prolonged occupation extremely difficult. The Persian country’s mountainous terrain, long supply lines, and strong domestic resistance could quickly turn an initial military success into a strategic failure.
What has Jiang said now?
Appearing on a US news and opinion series ‘Breaking Points’, he spoke about his fears about the current situation.
“Given my analysis of how the war is progressing, I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States. The reality is, right now, it’s a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict,” he said.
In his latest lecture, Jiang said the war will continue for a long time and when it is finally over, the world won’t be the same.
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